The Impact of Bitcoin ETFs on Crypto Market Volatility

3 min read
29 July 2024

Take outs:

  • Bitcoin ETFs Overview: Bitcoin ETFs allow investors to buy shares tracking Bitcoin’s price without managing the cryptocurrency directly. Each share represents an equivalent amount of Bitcoin held by the fund.

  • Historical Milestones: The first U.S. Bitcoin ETF, ProShares Bitcoin Trust (BITO), launched in October 2021, quickly amassed $1 billion. Bitcoin ETFs have since expanded globally, including new launches in Australia and Hong Kong.

  • How They Work: Spot Bitcoin ETFs store Bitcoin in cold storage and issue shares reflecting the current Bitcoin price. These ETFs trade like traditional ETFs on major exchanges and adjust their value based on Bitcoin’s market price.

  • Market Impact and Future: Announcements of Bitcoin ETFs can cause short-term price drops but are expected to boost long-term demand. Institutional investment in Bitcoin ETFs is forecasted to grow significantly, enhancing Bitcoin’s role in the financial market.


The Impact of Bitcoin ETFs on Crypto Market Volatility

A Bitcoin ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) is a type of security that tracks the price of Bitcoin, so you can buy and sell shares of the fund on the stock market without having to buy or manage Bitcoin yourself. Each share of the ETF is backed by an equivalent amount of Bitcoin, so the fund holds actual Bitcoin to match the shares it issues. These ETFs are for retail and institutional investors to get exposure to cryptocurrencies without the hassle of owning and managing the digital assets themselves.

Historical Milestones

In October 2021 the SEC approved the ProShares Bitcoin Trust (BITO) listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). This was the first US listed bitcoin ETF and gathered $1 billion in assets in its first days of trading—faster than any other ETF in history. BITO gives investor’s exposure to Bitcoin through futures contracts. Bitcoin ETFs are now live in several countries, the latest being the VanEck Bitcoin ETF (VBTC) in Australia in June 2024. Hong Kong was the first to launch Bitcoin ETFs in Asia in April 2024 with the Bosera HashKey spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs which have 964 Bitcoin (BTC) and 4,290 Ether (ETH) respectively and $71.94 million in assets under management.

Impact of Bitcoin

How Do Bitcoin ETFs Work?

Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold and store Bitcoin in offline “cold storage” vaults. Shares are issued by these ETFs represent the Bitcoins held and the current spot price of Bitcoin. Authorized Participants (APs) can create or redeem large blocks of shares to get the fund’s value in line with the actual asset value when there is an arbitrage opportunity.

Crypto ETFs work like traditional ETFs, it is traded on major exchanges like New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and CME. The fund’s value is tied to the weighted average of the underlying cryptocurrencies. For Bitcoin ETFs, the share price moves with the price of Bitcoin, so you can get Bitcoin exposure in a simple way.

Benefits of Crypto ETFs

  • Diversification: Crypto ETFs hold numerous different cryptocurrencies, which reduces the risk and enhances the potential return.
  • Accessibility: They make it easier to invest in cryptocurrencies by eliminating technical knowledge in maintaining each coin type.
  • Bitcoin legitimacy: With spot bitcoin ETFs approved, bitcoin is now seen as a legit asset class. Investors of all kinds can get exposure to bitcoin in almost any type of account they own

Market Impact

Spot Bitcoin ETFs announcement affects Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin prices went up before the spot ETF announcement and dropped over 10% after approval due to a “sell the news” reaction. In the long term, demand for Bitcoin will increase as financial advisors add spot Bitcoin ETFs to their client’s portfolios.

Institutional Adoption and Future Outlook

The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs is a key milestone for the $1.7 trillion digital asset industry. With institutional investors entering the market, Bitcoin demand is expected to surge. Analysts at Galaxy Digital predict that the spot ETF will get $14.4 billion in its first year, $27 billion in its second year, and $39 billion in its third year, mostly through asset management channels that lack secure Bitcoin exposure.

To sum up, Bitcoin ETFs are a crucial development in the cryptocurrency world that serve as a link between established financial markets and the expanding digital asset industry.